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Stock Market Today, July 16, 2026: Big Tech Surges as UNH, GE Beat, Chips Slide on TSMC Capex

By DoThingTrade Market Desk··7 min read
Stock Market Today, July 16, 2026: Big Tech Surges as UNH, GE Beat, Chips Slide on TSMC Capex

Wall Street extended its winning streak to three sessions on Thursday, July 16, 2026, with major indices closing higher as investors rotated into large-cap technology names and celebrated a string of strong corporate earnings reports. Apple (AAPL) hit a new all-time high and Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) each gained roughly 3%, offsetting a second consecutive selloff in semiconductor stocks. The S&P 500 finished up 0.38%, the Nasdaq advanced 0.62%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.29%. Small-cap stocks bucked the trend, with the Russell 2000 declining 0.49%.

Market Performance

The broad market moved higher despite a mixed backdrop of earnings beats, sector rotation, and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

  • S&P 500: +0.38%, closing at approximately 7,572
  • Nasdaq Composite: +0.62%, closing at approximately 26,269
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: +0.29% (+150 points), closing at approximately 52,637
  • Russell 2000: -0.49%, closing at approximately 2,977

Communication Services (XLC), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Financials (XLF) led sector gainers, rising 1.3%, 1.4%, and 0.7%, respectively. Utilities (XLU) was the biggest decliner, dropping 1%. The technology sector was mixed, with megacap software and platform names outperforming while semiconductor stocks lagged for a second straight session.

In the bond market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield firmed to around 4.58% as fresh oil-driven inflation risk from renewed U.S.-Iran tensions offset the week's disinflationary CPI and PPI signals. The 30-year yield remained elevated near 5.11%. Gold slipped modestly to around $4,030 per ounce, while WTI crude oil climbed toward $83 per barrel on reports of threats to Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal. Bitcoin held near $64,160, slightly off Wednesday's monthly high of $65,500 but supported by reduced near-term Fed rate hike expectations. The U.S. Dollar Index fell near a one-month low of 100.56.

Top Stories of the Day

TSMC Posts Record Earnings, But Massive Capex Hike Spooks Investors

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM) delivered a record second quarter on July 16, reporting revenue of $40.2 billion — a 36% year-over-year increase and near the top of its own guidance range. Net income surged 77.4% year over year, with diluted EPS of $4.31 per ADR unit. Gross margin came in at 67.7%, modestly above guidance. Advanced technologies at 7-nanometer and below accounted for 77% of total wafer revenue, with 2-nanometer chips representing their first material contribution at 3% of wafer revenue.

Despite the blowout numbers, TSM shares fell roughly 5% on the session. Investors were unsettled by TSMC's sharply increased capital expenditure forecast: the company raised its 2026 capex guidance to $60–$64 billion, well above the prior range of $52–$56 billion and above Wall Street consensus of approximately $58 billion. Third-quarter gross margin guidance of 65–67% also came in below the elevated 67.5%+ expectations held by some buy-side analysts. CEO C.C. Wei raised the full-year revenue growth target to above 40%, upgraded from a prior guidance of above 30%, and confirmed 3nm production lines are running above 100% utilization with CoWoS advanced packaging remaining the primary industry bottleneck. For a stock that rallied sharply into the print, the verdict was a classic 'sell the news' reaction.

UnitedHealth Group Crushes Q2 Estimates, Raises Full-Year Outlook

UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) delivered one of the session's most impressive earnings beats, reporting Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $6.38 — a $1.47 beat over the $4.91 consensus estimate, representing a 29% positive earnings surprise. Revenue came in at $112.0 billion, also ahead of estimates. The company raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $19.50–$20.00 per share and lifted its net earnings per share outlook to $18.45–$18.95. Total operating earnings guidance for UnitedHealth Group was raised to above $25.45 billion, reflecting strong performance across both the UnitedHealthcare insurance arm and the Optum health services division.

GE Aerospace Surpasses Estimates on Commercial Engine Demand

GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.02 per share, an 8.6% beat over the consensus of $1.86 and a 22% increase year over year. Adjusted revenue of $12.63 billion rose 24% year over year and beat estimates by 6.5%. The Commercial Engines & Services segment drove results, with revenues up 27% to $9.73 billion as shop visit revenues climbed 25% and LEAP engine deliveries rose 24%. GE raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.65–$7.85, up from $7.10–$7.40, and increased its free cash flow outlook to $8.9–$9.2 billion.

Apple Hits All-Time High; Megacap Tech Surges Broadly

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) gained approximately 4% on Thursday, hitting a new all-time high as investors continued to reward the company's AI-integrated product cycle. Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) each climbed around 3%, while Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) rose nearly 3%. The broad rally in software and platform names powered Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary sectors and provided a meaningful offset to the semiconductor selloff. Analysts noted that investors appeared to be differentiating between AI infrastructure builders (chip stocks, data center REITs) and AI platform beneficiaries (megacap tech, cloud service providers).

Netflix Reports Q2 Earnings After the Bell

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) released its Q2 2026 results after the market close on July 16. Analysts had been expecting revenue of approximately $12.58 billion, up 13% year over year, and EPS of $0.79. The company had guided for a Q2 operating margin of 32.6%, above its full-year 31.5% target, and had acknowledged that Q2 would carry the heaviest content amortization of 2026. NFLX shares entered the session down roughly 24% for the year and approximately 40% from the all-time high set before its 10-for-1 stock split took effect in November 2025, making the print a critical test of confidence in its ad-supported growth model and margin trajectory.

Biggest Movers

  • Apple (AAPL) +~4%: Hit a new all-time high on continued AI product cycle momentum.
  • Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT) each +~3%: Broad megacap tech rally as investors rotated out of chip stocks into large software and cloud platform names.
  • UnitedHealth Group (UNH): Surged after crushing Q2 estimates by 29% — $6.38 adjusted EPS versus $4.91 consensus.
  • TSMC (TSM) -~5%: Record Q2 revenue of $40.2 billion (+36% YoY) and net income up 77.4%, but shares fell on a capex forecast raised to $60–$64 billion and Q3 gross margin guidance that disappointed elevated expectations.
  • International Business Machines (IBM) -~25%: Shares continued to fall after IBM warned Q2 profits would be lower than expected due to soft demand in its software and infrastructure businesses.
  • HCA Healthcare (HCA) -~7%, Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) -~7%, Stryker (SYK) -~6%: Healthcare device and services stocks fell sharply, appearing among the session's biggest S&P 500 decliners.

Economic Data

Two key economic reports were released before Thursday's market open.

June Retail Sales rose a modest 0.2% month over month, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, compared to the prior month's 0.9% gain and below the 0.5% consensus estimate. Consumers slowed overall spending in June from May, though excluding gas station activity, underlying resilience was evident — particularly in auto sales and summer promotional categories. The softer-than-expected headline reading added to the picture of a gradually cooling consumer, consistent with this week's disinflationary CPI and PPI data.

Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending July 11 came in at 208,000, the fewest in 10 weeks and better than consensus expectations. The low claims figure reinforced the view that the labor market remains tight despite last month's weaker-than-expected June nonfarm payrolls report of just 57,000 jobs added. The combination of soft retail sales and healthy employment data supported the narrative of a gradual slowdown — reducing immediate pressure on the Fed to accelerate tightening ahead of the July 28–29 FOMC meeting.

Tomorrow's Market Calendar

Friday, July 17, 2026 brings housing data and continued Q2 earnings reactions.

  • Housing Starts (June): Consensus expects approximately 1.31 million annualized units. The data will be watched for signs of how 30-year mortgage rates near 6.43% are affecting residential construction.
  • Building Permits (June, Preliminary): Consensus around 1.40 million.
  • Export Prices (June): Consensus expects -0.4% after the prior +1.3% reading.
  • Netflix (NFLX) after-hours reaction: Investors will digest NFLX's Q2 report, including advertising revenue progress, margin durability, and any changes to full-year guidance.
  • Geopolitical watch: Markets will continue to monitor U.S.-Iran tensions and any developments around Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal, with WTI crude approaching $83/barrel.

Conclusion

Thursday's session illustrated a market in active transition. The day's biggest earnings beat came from UnitedHealth Group — a healthcare company, not a tech name — while chip stocks fell even as TSMC delivered record revenues. Capital is rotating: megacap software and platform names are attracting buyers, but the semiconductor sector faces a valuation reckoning after months of AI-driven gains. Modest retail sales, historically low jobless claims, and sticky geopolitical oil risk leave the Federal Reserve's path uncertain heading into the July 28–29 FOMC meeting. Investors enter Friday watching for Netflix's after-hours reaction, housing starts data, and any updates on the U.S.-Iran situation — all of which could move markets and reset the inflation narrative ahead of next week's FOMC decision.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Stock Market Today July 16, 2026: Big Tech Rallies | DoThingTrade