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Earnings Today: Nike (NKE) and Constellation Brands (STZ) Report After the Bell — June 30, 2026

By DoThingTrade Market Desk··6 min read
Earnings preview Nike Constellation Brands

Two major S&P 500 companies are set to report quarterly earnings after the close of U.S. markets today, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) will release its fourth quarter fiscal 2026 results, while Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ) will announce first quarter fiscal 2027 earnings. Both reports arrive as investors look for signs of consumer spending resilience, the impact of trade tariffs, and recovery progress heading into the second half of the year.

Together, these two consumer-facing companies offer a snapshot of how American households are spending on apparel and beverages — and how global supply chains and shifting consumer preferences are shaping corporate profits.

What's Happening Today

Nike will report Q4 FY2026 results approximately at 1:15 p.m. PT (4:15 p.m. ET), followed by a management conference call at 2:00 p.m. PT. Constellation Brands will post results after market close, with an analyst call on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET.

Nike's fiscal year ends May 31, making today's report its final quarter of fiscal 2026. Constellation Brands' fiscal year ends February 28, and Q1 FY2027 covers the period March 1 through May 31, 2026.

Nike (NKE): Can the Turnaround Gain Traction?

Analysts expect Nike to report Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings per share of approximately $0.11–$0.12 and revenue of roughly $10.85–$10.9 billion, representing a decline of about 2% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS is $0.12, down 21.4% from a year ago. Revenue guidance issued by management points to a 2–4% year-over-year decline.

Nike has been navigating a challenging turnaround under CEO Elliott Hill, who returned to the company in October 2024 after more than 30 years at Nike. His "Win Now" strategy centers on refocusing the brand on sports performance — particularly running, basketball, and football — while reducing dependence on lifestyle staples like the Air Force 1 and Dunk that had become oversaturated.

Key Headwinds: Tariffs and China

Two issues loom large for Nike investors heading into the report:

  • Tariffs: Nike sources approximately 16% of its footwear from China and a significant share from Vietnam — both countries subject to steep U.S. import tariffs under the current trade policy environment. The company previously disclosed that it expects roughly $1.5 billion in annualized gross incremental tariff costs. Management has guided for gross margin to decline 25–75 basis points in Q4, including a 250 basis point hit from tariffs in North America.
  • China: Greater China revenue is expected to fall approximately 20% year over year in Q4 as Nike continues efforts to clean up inventory and drive full-price sales. Domestic Chinese brands including Anta and Li-Ning have gained ground, and Nike has acknowledged that the recovery in China will extend through fiscal 2027.

Despite these headwinds, North America has been a bright spot. In Q3 FY2026, wholesale revenues grew 5% and North America saw improving sell-through trends. Investors will closely monitor whether that momentum continues.

Nike has beaten Wall Street EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, delivering an average earnings surprise of approximately 40%. The question is whether Q4 maintains that trend.

Constellation Brands (STZ): Beer Portfolio Holds Steady

Constellation Brands is expected to report Q1 FY2027 EPS of approximately $3.26–$3.28, representing around 2% growth year over year. Revenue is forecast at roughly $2.4 billion, a decline of about 4% from the prior year quarter's $2.5 billion, reflecting the company's ongoing portfolio reshaping.

The maker of Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, and Pacifico beer has benefited from strong premiumization trends in the U.S. beer market. Modelo Especial remains the best-selling beer overall in the United States. Constellation holds the exclusive and perpetual U.S. license to import, market, and sell Corona and Modelo brands.

Growth Drivers and Portfolio Strategy

  • Beer business momentum: Constellation had 6 of the top 15 share-gaining brands across the total U.S. beer category in fiscal 2026. The company invested over $700 million in modular capacity expansion at its Mexican breweries in FY2026 and plans to invest approximately $800 million in FY2027.
  • Innovation: Recent product launches include Corona Sunbrew, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Modelo Chelada Limón y Sal non-alcoholic, and Modelo Noche Especial seasonal lager. In FY2027, the company launched Modelo Chelada Suprema.
  • Wine & spirits: The company's portfolio includes The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, Kim Crawford, Mi CAMPO Tequila, and High West Whiskey.

Constellation Brands has beaten earnings estimates in three of its last four quarters, delivering an average EPS surprise of approximately 7%. In Q4 FY2026 (reported April 8, 2026), the company posted EPS of $1.90, beating the $1.71–$1.72 consensus estimate by about 10%.

For full-year FY2027, management has guided for EPS of $11.20–$11.90, below the analyst consensus of roughly $12.36. The stock currently trades at a forward P/E of approximately 12.6x — a discount to its beverage industry peers.

Market Impact: What These Earnings Mean for Investors

Nike represents one of the world's most-recognized consumer brands and is a component of both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Its results serve as a barometer for consumer spending on athletic apparel and footwear, retail health, and global trade conditions.

A better-than-expected result could boost sentiment across the consumer discretionary sector, while a miss or cautious guidance — particularly around tariffs and China — could weigh on the broader market narrative around trade headwinds.

Constellation Brands' results will be watched as an indicator of consumer staples resilience and the premium beer category. Shares of STZ closed at $139.66 on June 29, 2026, down 4.54% ahead of the report, suggesting some investor caution. The stock's 52-week range is $126.45 to $178.14.

Both stocks are reporting in the early days of Q2 2026 earnings season. The major bank earnings — traditionally the true kickoff of any earnings season — are expected to begin in mid-July. FactSet forecasts total S&P 500 earnings growth of approximately 22% for Q2 2026, which would mark a second consecutive quarter of 20%+ growth.

What Investors Should Watch Next

  • Nike guidance: Investors will watch whether Nike reinstates full-year guidance or provides a clearer timeline for revenue recovery. Management has previously indicated that a return to sustained growth may not occur until fiscal Q2 2027 (fall 2026).
  • Nike tariff update: Any changes to Nike's $1.5 billion tariff cost estimate or commentary on supply chain diversification will be closely analyzed.
  • Nike China commentary: Visibility into when Greater China recovers will be key for long-term investors.
  • STZ FY2027 guidance confirmation: Whether Constellation Brands reaffirms or adjusts its full-year EPS guidance of $11.20–$11.90 will shape how investors view STZ's valuation premium versus peers.
  • STZ beer volumes: Volume trends in the U.S. beer market — particularly premium imported beer — will indicate whether category tailwinds remain intact.
  • Major bank earnings (mid-July): JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and others are expected to report in the week of July 14. These results will set the tone for the broader Q2 earnings season.
  • PepsiCo (PEP) earnings: Expected on July 9, 2026, PepsiCo's results will offer additional context for consumer staples demand and pricing power.

The Bottom Line

Today's earnings from Nike (NKE) and Constellation Brands (STZ) offer investors a look at how two major S&P 500 consumer companies are navigating a challenging environment of tariff headwinds, shifting consumer preferences, and global uncertainty.

Nike remains in a multiyear turnaround under CEO Elliott Hill, with progress visible in North America but China and tariffs continuing to pressure the bottom line. Constellation Brands benefits from durable premium beer brands like Modelo Especial and Corona, but faces near-term revenue pressure as it reshapes its portfolio and contends with a more cautious U.S. consumer.

Results for both companies will be available after 4:15 p.m. ET today. As always, investors should consider both the reported figures and management guidance carefully, and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.

Sources

  • NIKE, Inc. — Investor News: Q4 FY2026 Earnings Announcement — investors.nike.com — June 2026
  • NIKE, Inc. — Q3 FY2026 Earnings Release — investors.nike.com — March 31, 2026
  • Constellation Brands — Q1 FY2027 Earnings Announcement — cbrands.com — June 2, 2026
  • Zacks Investment Research — Nike Q4 2026 Earnings Preview — finance.yahoo.com — June 2026
  • Zacks Investment Research — Constellation Brands Q1 2027 Earnings Preview — tradingview.com — June 2026
  • CNBC — Nike Q3 2026: Turnaround Drags, China Sales Slump — cnbc.com — April 1, 2026
  • Hudson Labs — Nike Q4 2026 Earnings Preview — hudson-labs.com — June 2026
  • MarketBeat — Nike Earnings History — marketbeat.com — June 2026
  • FactSet — S&P 500 Earnings Season Data — insight.factset.com — June 2026
  • ii.co.uk — US Earnings Season Q2 2026 Calendar — ii.co.uk — Updated June 26, 2026
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nike & Constellation Brands Earnings Preview — June 30, 2026 | DoThingTrade